In the last couple weeks, three important companies have pledged to permanently move towards a work from home organization. Twitter, Shopify, and Facebook have all made the leap and soon others will follow. This is the beginning of a tectonic shift that will play out over several years and reshape multiple modes of human experience including culture, economics, technology, relationships, the...
EFS #2: Chris Kimble – Is the Treasury Bull Market Finally Ending?
Yesterday, I chatted with Chris Kimble, the founder of Kimble Charting Solutions. Chris is a master technician and big pic top-down analyst. The best of both worlds.
He sees a pattern taking shape in a multi-year monthly candlestick chart of the the 30 year treasury that anticipates the end of one of the greatest bull markets in history. Have a watch:
Nine Things that Happen to Investors When Volatility Increases
When prices correct in the stock market and volatility increases, investors tend to veer off course in a bunch of ways. Here’s a list of nine things that happen to investors when price volatility increases. 1. Emotional Volatility Increases – Investors are a little irrational even during periods of relative calm. That’s the behavior gap. But during periods of increased price...
CTN: THE Cognitive Triangle and Behavioral Finance
The CTN is a comprehensive investor experience model that integrates components of behavioral finance with Aaron Beck’s Cognitive Therapy via clinical psychology. This is a work in progress on this blog and you can read more about it here. The Cognitive Triangle is a critical structural component of Beck’s clinical model. It includes three modes of experience – thoughts...
Digital Intermittent Fasting
If you are an alcoholic and decide to take a one month “alcohol fast” is that going to help? Even if you’re successful for the month, once you start drinking again, you’ve relapsed and your functioning will begin to deteriorate. This is why the extended digital or social media fasts people take may not be the best thing for many, especially for those who need to control...
Inspired Leadership and the Winning Mentality
I did this brief podcast with JC and we talk about going for it on fourth down with the game on the line with Lamar Jackson and John Harbaugh. Its one of my favorites ever. Have a listen.
Do Not Eat Shit Out of a Box
A new breakfast cereal is launching called Twinkies Cereal. Here’s a photo of the box. There are two reasons this cereal is coming to market. First, processed food conglomerates believe some will buy this for their children who will consume it like junkies in a den. Second, parents who are rightly horrified, will judge other cereals better by comparison. Rest assured, that other...
The Greatest value investment of all time
There is one value investment that generates massive gains while remaining immune to market cycles, bubbles, fads, crashes, rates or the economy. It is relentlessly undervalued and, judging by the obesity secular bull market that continues longer than the great bond bull, shows few signs of trading at a premium anytime soon. The trend is not your friend. I am talking about good nutrition –...
The Soaring Twenties
A new decade begins in a couple months. Sure, take time to reflect on your life and the Teens that are ending but don’t spend too much energy there. What’s past is done. Next… Instead, think about the next decade and begin visualizing your potential reality. What will make you happy? Who do you aspire to be? What can you accomplish? What do you give up finally or avoid? You can...
Bullish Price Behavior Coupled with Negative Sentiment
I love doing these podcasts with JC. We do these phone calls all the time anyway and so when he tapes them, its just a new dimension that allows others to eavesdrop and reply if they’d like via social or email. We’ve been doing shorter ones too which I like better. I can’t listen to the 90 minute podcasts and I have nothing to say that takes that long. Here JC and I talk about...